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The way ahead

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Marcus Barber thinks that, among the cry for creativity, the value of entrepreneurs and innovation is often lost.

When it comes to improving the world, there are three common mantras that developed societies chant in unison - 'entrepreneurship', 'creativity' and 'innovation'. Yet depending to which of these mantras a society assigns higher value, the ways in which they will approach the ideas of creativity, innovation and entrepreneurship will differ greatly.

I'd like to propose that too many people see entrepreneurship as bad, and too many believe that innovation and creativity are one and the same. These trapped perspectives prevent the full benefit of innovative and entrepreneurial activity flowing to society. The key missing ingredient needed to release the full potential is strategic foresight.

The rainforest is a great metaphor of how modern societies operate. In the natural world, rainforests arguably represent the most complete of ecosystems - self-sustaining, self-regulating and typically resilient to most events. Yet all it takes to change the ecology of a rainforest is to punch a hole (often violently) in the canopy to expose the floor below. Sunlight streams in through the hole in the canopy reaching the seeds that lay dormant in the build-up of rotting material and, with it, new life emerges. Plant life springs forth and usually is of a similar species to the one that made way for it.

But not always. Modern societies are relatively stable and surprisingly resilient. The system requires an established upper level canopy to protect the lower level mass from the excessive dangers of disruption. Like rainforests, societies don't seem to change too much. Yet when they do ... the seeds of your failures lie in the forests of your successes.

Societies change when entrepreneurs and innovators 'punch holes' in the fabric of society. That is their job, their core function and what they are implicitly good at, giving rise to the dormant seeds of change that lie waiting for an opportunity to flourish.

Yet too often we decry entrepreneurship in this society. It is not a mantra we chant strongly, often due to the way in which charlatans and poor business people have from time to time been held up as fine examples of entrepreneurship in mainstream media, only to be later exposed to the issues of accountability. It is these few big cases that have given rise to a low or zero appreciation of the importance and value of entrepreneurs. And given as how in Australia we have a society that places a higher value on creativity than we do innovation or entrepreneurship, the role of entrepreneurs in our society is even more important.

There is also widespread confusion between innovation and creativity and Australia in particular relies too heavily on the notion of creativity.

While all innovation is creative, the stark reality is that very little creativity is innovative. Australian organisations and governments are paying a harsh penalty for accepting the useful but lower value gained through a focus on creativity. Creativity typically is about incremental improvements - improved efficiencies and levels of effectiveness.

Innovation is about evolution - it is about ideas with the potential to fundamentally change the way an industry sector operates and what a product or service does. It is a step well beyond (merely) creative efforts.

Creative developments shape and influence the general direction and speed of an existing trend. These are the incremental improvements of a product or service such as we have seen in improvements to desktop computers over the years. But true innovations render existing trends obsolete. Few organisations are making 3¼ inch floppy disk drives because (although a creative improvement on previous versions of floppy drives) they were replaced by the recordable CD-ROM. The recordable CD-ROM jumped the 'innovation chasm' - the gap between creativity and future development that is built upon and continues to be fed by innovation. This spelled the end of the floppy drive in much the same way that USB drives seem to be making CD-ROM and DVD storage obsolete.

True innovation aims to make existing modes of doing things obsolete, where as merely creative improvements (though valuable) typically add to the existing mode of doing things. You can't stop progress.

The implicit aim of all modern societies is to progress, to improve the living conditions for its citizenry. To that end then, modern societies are often also said to be advanced societies - well-established, with clear governance structures, appropriate technology and sufficient infrastructure to meet society's needs. Advanced societies are also more likely to be sustainable societies because sustainable societies actively seek out ways to evolve the way they do things.
And this is where the mantras of entrepreneurship, creativity and innovation have their beginnings, for it is widely held that in advanced societies (societies with an eye on progress) entrepreneurship, creativity and innovation are key drivers of advancement.

Yet the explicit aim of modern society (and most organisations) as seen in the outcome of the way the system operates, has very little to do with advancement. The irony is that, while there is vast talk about advancement through improved efficiencies and effectiveness, the very structures organisations use to achieve those goals often prevent them from making the improvements they say they desire.

In reality, most societies and organisations operate using a system fixated with achieving a single aim - maintaining the status quo. Maintaining the status quo is about clinging to our past successes, yet we do so knowing that the seeds of our very destruction lie waiting for an opportunity to emerge. We wrap ourselves in the comforts of our past successes. Which is why entrepreneurship and innovation are so critical. Organisations that fixate on maintaining the status quo eventually die or are bypassed by more agile and alert competitors able and willing to adapt to changing needs and circumstances.

Although a correlation between entrepreneurship and innovation exists, they typically act in different ways. Entrepreneurship provides energy and momentum needed to overcome the system blockages and in-built inertia, whereas innovation provides a fulcrum for change and direction setting.
Societies need more entrepreneurs. We need to encourage the entrepreneurial drive that seeks to overcome system blockages and inertia and to develop the skills that overcome the barriers and established rules that maintain the status quo - those rules and processes that increase the risk of societal decay. Societies also need more innovators - those people with the skills through which the 'rules of the game' (status quo processes) can be fundamentally changed forever by generating 'chasm leaping' products and services.

But note that entrepreneurship is only partially linked to innovation.

Successful entrepreneurship may or may not require innovation skills. Taking advantage of marketplace opportunities may require creative efforts that target efficiency and effectiveness - the realm of being better than the competition and, therein, more likely to be successful over time.
Innovation, on the other hand, may or may not require an entrepreneurial spirit. Many a good idea has made it into the marketplace without the entrepreneurial drive, but by and large there are more good ideas with innovative potential gone to waste because the innovator lacked the know-how to bring the idea to fruition.

Mistakes that innovators make that entrepreneurs do not include:
•    Failing to understand and access the range of required expertise needed to succeed
•    Believing that a 'good idea' will be sufficient to be successful
•    Holding onto control beyond a feasible and realistic level
Mistakes that entrepreneurs make that innovators do not include:
•    Failing to ignore the 'box' (the limitation of the system)
•    Settling for playing better in the existing sandpit (incremental improvement is enough)
•    Thinking that creativity and innovation are one and the same.

Moving beyond the status quo requires the important third ingredient - an enhanced awareness of potential futures. Entrepreneurs often see opportunities for an improved future; innovators often see opportunities for a different future; futurists often aim to see a range of potential futures.

Futurists use a variety of tools like environmental scanning, scenarios and backcasting, among others, to enhance their capacity for foresight. Strategic foresight is the ability to conceive of potential differences in future outcomes of any matter under consideration, and an ability to also prepare for those potential outcomes. Foresight can be improved through a number of ways that may or may not require a futurist's tool kit.

When you combine entrepreneurship, with an innovative idea and well-considered insights into the future, you get game-changing results. Put more simply, when you put entrepreneurship, innovation and foresight into the same room, 'magic' happens.

Organisations deliberately or otherwise-fixated on maintaining the status quo are attracted to 'activity'. This is the realm of the incremental improvements and although of benefit, fails to fully leverage the drive and passion of the entrepreneurial and innovative skill sets.

But real innovation is a brutal end to habits of behaviour.

Let's move away from accepting creativity as good enough. Incremental improvements are valuable but will not handle the impacts of innovative changes forced upon us. Real innovation is bloody and brutal, leading to crises of confidence in established industries. Innovation overcomes the stultifying grip of the status quo. Real innovation often requires entrepreneurial thinking. It always requires strategic foresight.

Governments, societies and organisations that lack the capability to develop and support an innovative and entrepreneurial drive are destined to become third and fourth-rate players. True innovation will bypass blockages, undermining the habits upon which we base our day-to-day activities. Quite simply, our habits of thinking will be seen for what they are - a debilitating addiction to mediocrity, as the entrepreneur and innovator link their passion to a clearer understanding of a better future, tapping into expertise when and where it can be found.

Organisations with a highly tuned level of strategic foresight will be well placed to spot emerging opportunities and threats in advance of their competition. Being able to tap into the innovative idea and entrepreneurial drive keeps them well ahead of the status quo. It is a key step towards a focus on productivity - the outcomes of our efforts, rather than activity - the actions that merely make us busy.

Entrepreneurs can improve their impact by seeking truly innovative ideas to add to their mix. In doing so they will move beyond incremental efficiency and effectiveness approaches. Innovators can gain much by tapping into the entrepreneurial ability to 'get to market' as well as accessing the right expertise at the right time. Both would gain significantly by taking a deliberate approach to seeking insights from the future by questioning their assumptions and expectations using the broad array of methods employed by strategic futurists.

Organisations should consider developing 'Futures Departments' that report directly to the board on specific actions the organisation is taking to ensure that it doesn't fall victim to a fixation on status quo and the all-too-ready acceptance of mediocrity as being sufficient approaches to societal improvements. This would also ensure an ongoing strategic seeking out of signals of emerging risk and opportunity. Governments at all levels should consider developing the ministerial portfolio of 'Innovation and Future' that aims to foster and bring together the foresight, entrepreneurial and innovator skill sets, moving us beyond an acceptance of and reliance on creativity as being sufficient.

And societies ought to celebrate those individuals and companies whose drive and passion improves the very existence of our lives, whether or not we are fully aware of how the impact eventuated because entrepreneurship and innovation are the antidotes to social decline and the launch pads of advancing our society. We should celebrate the successes and embrace the failures for they represent attempts to open our eyes to the light of change, to give rise to the new, the bold and the better.

The very best innovations require future insights because when you add into the mix a strong capacity for foresight you enable leap-frogging improvements across industry sectors and across society.

Marcus Barber, strategic futurist, is director of Looking Up Feeling Good (www.lufg.com.au). This piece is based on one originally used as a session primer for the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year awards.

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